Afternoon Head Fake

  • About a 500 point swing in the last half hour–down for a final -74. Oil up big.  Gold up pretty big.
  • Probably doesn’t make for a great opening tomorrow
  • The Fed cut was a yawner and yesterday’s profits too juicy to ignore so profits were taken
  • Was reminded of Chinese savings rate today: now at 40%.  US?  Probably zero.
  • But China doesn’t have our Social Security and pension plans-they have to save
  • Recent financial upheaval is likely to increase our saving–folks are scared
  • And that is likely to reduce consumer spending, once again
  • After the Fed action we are now reliant on Corporate earnings for upside, not a great scenario
  • I will look for more opportunities in oil names tomorrow.