No Prisoners!

  • Was just reviewing the bank stocks.  I feel smug about suggesting that Bank America was headed to a hat size when it traded at $14.  Did I follow my advice?  Nah.  Short 100 shares? 1000? Nope.  Put a $1000 into puts?  Nada.  Idiot.
  • I checked the most declined list and Bank of New York is down 6%.  No wait, that’s $6!!  This is a bank supposedly immune to the typical position losses and leveraged balance sheets associated with JP Morgan or Citi.  State Street Bank, home of money market funds offered to institutions, lost $6 billion on its portfolio and is down 50%.  Wells Fargo off 17%.  Bet the Wachovia shareholders are delighted as must be Warren Buffett, WFC’s largest shareholder. There is a taking no prisoners atmosphere out there that is puking every bank stock in the world.  If Bank of New York can decline 26% in a single day one might ask if anything is safe.  Anything.
  • But fear begets opportunity.  Over the next several days Obama’s pronouncements will compete with luke-warm corporate earnings reports.  It remains to be seen which of these two camps will triumph enough to inspire traders to take ’em up.