Ugly is as ugly does

  • In the face of pretty disturbing economic indicators and corporate pratfalls as well as generally overbought conditions one would expect this correction.
  • The preannounced revenue and earnings shortfall at Intel is especially troublesome.  Chip sales are a leading indicator, their use has become omnipresent.  The severity of the most recent Intel forecast foretells gloomy near-term tech results.  Today’s report is on top of an already reduced estimate and it smacks of severe, recent, slowing. Intel will miss its already-lowered 4Q targets
  • Oil is off 10% as it corrects from it 44% move off its lows.  We were waiting for all the traders to return from holidays.  Now that short covering is completed due to the Gaza war and the Russian/Ukraine flap there doesn’t seem to be a good reason for oil to climb higher.
  • We are getting a few bids as I type and the trend seems to be higher but not today.  We have to work off the fluff a bit.