Capitulation?

  • In the last few minutes the market came down big time on large volume.  Not a good sign.  Overseas markets will be terrible and that will reflect upon our opening tomorrow.
  • Overall volume was not high enough to signal capitulation.  So, we probably have further to fall.
  • A savvy reader, after considering the economy/markets/capitulation/bailouts, wrote today:  I keep bouncing between the following two thoughts:this is ridiculous and…… is this ridiculous?”
  • This is a delicious sentiment.  It says in a sentence what we are all probably feeling.  We hate the market for loosing us money but we understand that it is part of the cleansing process.
  • Many Street types are receiving no bonuses.  Most of these guys have salaries of $150,000 or less and count on the annual check to live.  Imagine how many of these guys have bought $3 million houses over the last two years.  They put 20% down, leaving them a mortgage of about $2.4mm or a monthly payment of $20,000+/-.  Can’t pay that with their salary.
  • The last time the S&P index touched 600 was November 1985.  I have read forecasts by several pessimists that we are headed there.
  • Stanford Financial was charged in what may be an $8 billion fraud.  This is a high profile company which offered CD’s of 8-12%.  The CD’s were issued from an Antigua bank and Stanford customers are flying to the island en masse.
  • Gold stocks may have gone up too fast.  I still have my positions and they helped mitigate some of today’s damage.
  • Like yogurt?  You must try this: FAGE Total Greek Yogurt

Try, try to make it a great evening!