Noon Swoon

The Markets

  • Lunch time lives up to it’s billing as traders take morning profits.  Markets off their best levels as the S&P slips under 800.  For certainty to prevail we should finish above that level and stay there for a while……two days?
  • Watch for the 2:30 hour.  Should things hold then it is likely to close higher.
  • Should we get confirmation above 800 then it won’t really make a difference what is bought.  The market will take up almost everything, just as it takes it down.
  • For maximum gains, at greatest risk, one would buy “them that got ya here.”  Banks, even though as much as 150% off lows, are probably a good bet.  I don’t have the stomach for them.  But would I to buy I would look at super regionals.  Northern Trust, Sun Trust, PNC come to mind.
  • Technology should also lead us out.  My preferences are for the super-large: IBM, Hewlett-Packard, Microsoft, Oracle.  The smaller names, those focused on smaller technologies, are likely to outperform.  But owning these requires a specialized knowledge I don’t have.
  • Emerging markets outperformed the US last week by a wide margin.  They go down pretty fast, as well.  I may use EEM, an ETF.
  • Of course, all this talk of buy lists may be just that, talk.  If we don’t hold here then we will be back to day trading.
  • Meanwhile, days like this sure makes people happier.