Good Morning
- As Israel/Hamas fight escalates the prices for both gold and oil rise. Recent price behavior for oil has been a strong opening and a quick fade by 10am. Unless the Gaza turmoil escalates I expect oil to resume its recent pattern, down. Storage costs are rising as more producers look for tanks in which to store their unused petrol.
- Gold, on the other hand, may have legs. Bullion has gained about 4% this year after beginning its swoon in March. But, it is up. As the dollar weakens and as tensions increase in Israel and India/Pakistan gold should go higher. I own DGP, a double long ETN, GDX, a gold producers ETF and Freeport-McMoran convert preferred, FCXprM.
- The Case-Shiller index of home values announces tomorrow. As home prices go so goes the market, in my opinion. Watch for a further decline, as much as 2% for the month.
- The lack of confirmation from GMAC on the bond swap is disconcerting. As I understand it they were under an obligation to report on Friday. Here it is Monday and nada. This could be troubling.